Identifying Factor‐Augmented Vector Autoregression Models via Changes in Shock Variances

نویسندگان

چکیده

This study proposes a method to identify factor-augmented vector autoregression models without imposing uncorrelatedness or any timing restrictions among observed and unobserved factors in the system. To this end, we utilize changes unconditional shock variances following Rigobon (2003). The proposed can incorporate both structural system allows contemporaneous matrix be fully unrestricted. We derive asymptotic distribution of impulse response estimator consider bootstrap inference method. also provide two diagnostic tools: test for identification condition class overidentifying tests. A Monte Carlo experiment shows that methods yield satisfactory coverage rate when an factor is analyzed, although more accurate. apply empirical example effects U.S. monetary policies on asset prices. contractionary policy induces positive hump-shaped interest responses along maturity dimension negative but insignificant stock price responses.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Applied Econometrics

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1099-1255', '0883-7252']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.2894